"To a herd of rams, the ram the herdsman drives each evening into a special enclosure to feed and that becomes twice as fat as the others must seem to be a genius. And it must appear an astonishing conjunction of genius with a whole series of extraordinary chances that this ram, who instead of getting into the general fold every evening goes into a special enclosure where there are oats- that this very ram, swelling with fat, is killed for meat". - Tolstoy, ‘War & Peace’. After so many false dawns, the recent announcement by Spain's Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy that the government was revising down its 2013 economic forecast hardly caused a blink among a citizenry that is now … [Read more...] about Beyond their ken?
spanish economy
Bankia and the blame game
The news that former Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is writing a book about his two terms in office in which he will be “critical of himself, but not others,” according to people close to him, stuck out like a sore thumb given that in Spanish politics, apportioning blame currently seems to be as much a priority as finding solutions to the crisis. Whether Zapatero does manage to criticise only himself in his book is another matter, but if not, plenty of others are quite happy to point the finger at him. Last week, Economy Minister Luis de Guindos echoed the Partido Popular-led government’s regular complaint that it inherited an economy in tatters from the Socialists, this … [Read more...] about Bankia and the blame game
Rajoy’s labyrinth
When looking back on the first five months of Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s government, it’s hard to recall many striking images of the man. That’s probably because he is so studiously media-shy, giving as few press conferences as he possibly can, and leaving most major policy announcements to his number two, Soraya Sáenz de Santamaría. But while Rajoy has been typically low-key during his opening spell in office, events have not and a couple of moments from those rollercoaster first months do stick in the mind, telling us apparently contradictory things about the man. One is his comment to his Finnish counterpart, Jyrki Katainen, back in January, that the labour reform he was … [Read more...] about Rajoy’s labyrinth
Spain’s “technically impossible” euro exit
Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, his Economy Minister Luis de Guindos, and Finance Minister Cristóbal Montoro, have all been asked to respond to Nobel laureate Paul Krugman’s recent comments regarding what he called eurodämmerung: the end of the single currency. Unsurprisingly, they all repeated their commitment to the single currency, saying that Spain would not require a bailout, and that the spending cuts would continue. But like guilty men giving away what is really on their minds, all three went further, insisting that Spain would remain in the eurozone, and that a corralito was a “technical impossibility.” Corralito is a dreaded word in Spain, associated with the chaos that … [Read more...] about Spain’s “technically impossible” euro exit
Catalonia’s immigrants face lonely road ahead
Sitting across the table from Xavier Alonso Calderón, Catalonia’s head of Immigration and Labour Relations, it was hard not to feel for everyone within a hundred paces of his office. In one of many sweeping cuts to government spending since coming into office late last year, the Partido Popular-led national government had slashed Spain’s immigration and integration fund to nearly nothing. Established under the Zapatero government in 2005, the fund had set aside up to €200 million to be distributed to Spain’s autonomous communities to help finance programs aimed at reporting, educating and integrating the country’s foreign-born population – a group that had exploded over the past decade, … [Read more...] about Catalonia’s immigrants face lonely road ahead
Spanish wine bucks recession
In times of recession, it is always surprising to find businesses that have survived – indeed thrived – against the odds. The steady closure of smaller stores has left many Spanish town centres struggling to remain vibrant and in such a climate, niche is everything if you are hoping to capture the market. The main street of the Basque capital Vitoria's old quarter throws up one such case: Martin's Bodega is 15 square metres of wall-to-wall wine. English owner Martin Beacham opened the shop in 2009 just as the recession was beginning to hit. At such a delicate time, it was a straightforward matter of sink or swim. Three years later, business is steadily thriving, though most clients are … [Read more...] about Spanish wine bucks recession
Is Catalonia going the way of Slovenia?
When, at his party's congress on March 28-29, the former Catalan president Jordi Pujol exclaimed that "we live in a state that has no Constitution", he touched the nerve of a Catalan nationalism that has become increasingly belligerent. It’s a nationalism that openly defies court sentences it believes threaten the nation it claims to represent, such as the Constitutional Court's ruling on the region’s Statute of Autonomy (or Estatut) in 2010 or more recent ones by the Supreme Court related to language use in Catalonia. No wonder that at the same congress, Convergència Democràtica de Catalunya (CDC) adopted a strategy that, even though it avoids the word "independence", strongly argues for … [Read more...] about Is Catalonia going the way of Slovenia?
Spanish government seeks to muzzle protest with reforms
“Our judicial system is not frightening enough ”, said Felip Puig, the Catalan interior chief, a few days after the March 29 general strike. In the wake of that protest, the Spanish government has unveiled a series of changes to the Criminal Code that it hopes will be approved by June and which would criminalise the actions of movements such as 15-M (or indignados), despite their peaceful nature. Last week, Interior Minister Jorge Fernández gave more details: peaceful resistance will be deemed a form of illegal undermining of authority, punishable with one to three years in jail; the punishment for civil disobedience, which is currently six months to one year in jail, will be increased … [Read more...] about Spanish government seeks to muzzle protest with reforms
Five things Mariano Rajoy has learned in his first 100 days
1. Blaming the previous government can only get you so far. The Socialists left the public accounts in mess, let unemployment soar, and failed to acknowledge the crisis in the first place…We’ve been hearing all that for the last two years or so from the Partido Popular (PP). And turning the Spanish economy around in the near future, given the state it was in at the end of 2011, is a tough –some would say impossible- task. So far the governing party’s own support has remained steady, according to polls, even if Rajoy’s has slipped slightly. But at some point very soon, Spaniards are going to stop thinking about Zapatero’s feeble economic legacy and start focusing exclusively on the … [Read more...] about Five things Mariano Rajoy has learned in his first 100 days
Energy debt burden looms large in Spain’s deficit reduction push
To say that the Rajoy government inherited a rough legacy is rather an understatement. The economy appears to be in even worse shape than the incoming Partido Popular government first thought and even as they chop away at public spending, confidence at home and abroad continues to slip. Less than three months in and Rajoy and his party were forced to restructure deficit reduction goals, much to the chagrin of austerity-minded allies in Brussels and Berlin. Unfortunately, the government’s campaign to rein in spending and reduce the deficit does not yet address one particularly large elephant in the room – namely, Spain’s beleaguered energy sector. Sure, we’ve seen the Rajoy government … [Read more...] about Energy debt burden looms large in Spain’s deficit reduction push