Here is my latest update of the British pound to euro exchange rate, covering the 4th to 11th May 2012. This is intended as a brief guide to what’s affected the exchange rate this past week as well as what might happen next, to help you decide if now’s the best time for you to change currencies. Pound to euro: +1.609% weekly increase 1.2504 (1.2306 a week ago) +2.094 monthly increase 1.2505 (1.2129 a month ago) This week: 1. The pound hit its highest rate against the euro since 2008, as well as breaking the hugely symbolic 1.25 point, as Spain’s nationalisation of Bankia as well as electoral chaos in Greece pull the euro down. 2. The Bank of England didn’t announce a fourth … [Read more...] about Pound to euro hits 1.25 as Spain nationalises Bankia
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Pound slips on surprise UK GDP downturn
UK sterling has given up almost a cent against the euro this week, as the ONS (Office for National Statistics) tells us Britain contracted -0.1% more than previously thought in Q4, to a total –0.3%. Obviously enough, this has stoked concerns the UK might re-enter recession in 2012, and in fact the OECD (those cheery fellows!) have already made this prediction. Bright side for Britain Fortunately, on the flip-side there are plenty of economists who accuse the OECD of doom-mongering here, and indeed UK performance in 2012 has been pretty solid so far. Both the manufacturing and services sectors expanded these past 3 months, while exports also enjoyed a solid increase. This suggests the UK … [Read more...] about Pound slips on surprise UK GDP downturn
UK pound to euro exchange rate stable as outlook darkens
The UK pound kept close to the 1.20 mark against the euro this week, as economic data in both the UK and eurozone points to a difficult road for 2012. In particular, in the UK retail sales dropped a precipitous –0.8% last month, signalling that consumers are no more confident in their prospects, while the coalition government borrowed more than twice as much as forecast. In Europe meanwhile, attention has turned to Spain and Italy, where crucial labour reforms are being debated, while spluttering manufacturing output points to a deepening recession. UK retailers on the back foot UK retail sales declined double the expected rate last month, falling –0.8% compared to the -0.4% forecast. … [Read more...] about UK pound to euro exchange rate stable as outlook darkens
Pound to euro stable as central banks hold rates
The situation in Greece especially has topped the headlines this past week, and had the potential to send the euro into meltdown had it not turned out so well. The Greek government conducted a debt swap, aimed at getting bondholders holding more than €200bn in Greek bonds to change their bonds for ones worth 75% less. Had they refused, Greece would have been refused its €130bn EU bailout and been forced to default, prompting the much-feared contagion across Europe. In the event though, Greece’s creditors decided that triggering a financial apocalypse was not perhaps in their best interests, and more than 95% accepted the deal. Cue much jubilation among Greek and European Union public … [Read more...] about Pound to euro stable as central banks hold rates
Euro stumbles as Greece ups its brinkmanship
On Wednesday, Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos accused German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble of more or less plotting to push Greece out of the euro, while Schaeuble in turn said he is tired of dumping money into a black hole. This has delayed the dispatch of the second Greek bailout, bringing Greece closer to the March deadline before it defaults. For me, the dispute raises an interesting point about who is to blame per se for this continuing Greece debacle. Reading around, it seems to me the EU is getting a bad rep here, with Germany especially being painted as a dictatorial monster. Is this the case? I mean - I concede that the EU is a bureaucratic nightmare, but is … [Read more...] about Euro stumbles as Greece ups its brinkmanship
Is Greece poised to give the euro a boost?
For almost eight months, bureaucrats in Athens have been negotiating to convince investors to take a voluntary loss on their bonds, arguing this is the only way Greece can get its debt onto a sustainable footing. Until just the last day or so bondholders have refused, for the good reason that volunteering to take a loss is like opening your wallet to strangers in the street! Somehow or other though EU officials have managed the impossible, and investors stand poised to accept a 50.0% loss on their existing Greek bonds, while accepting an interest rate of just 3.75% on replacements. How then might this help the euro? Because if Greek officials and bondholders had not reached agreement, … [Read more...] about Is Greece poised to give the euro a boost?