The US dollar is back in action! America’s currency rose to its highest point against the euro since January 3rd this week, or almost two months, to 0.7659. How come? First, because automatic spending cuts worth $85bn have come into force in the States, following US leaders’ failure to agree a deficit reduction plan. That’s led investors to shelter in the safe-haven greenback. Second, because Italy remains in deadlock, following its weekend election. To put this into context, the US dollar was at 0.732 against the euro at the start of February, meaning it’s since climbed more than 3 cents. A $250,000 transfer is hence worth €8.475 more than a month ago. (Please bear in mind, these are … [Read more...] about US dollar to euro hits 2-month high, as US spending cuts kick in
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Euro wobbles as ECB hints at intervention to curb its strength
The common currency lost almost two cents against the pound last week, falling from 0.8691 on February 1st to 0.8541 today. Meanwhile, against the greenback it lost two and a half cents, tumbling from a multi-year high of 1.3662 to 1.3410 at the time of writing. Of course, these losses hardly undo the euro’s January gains. The common currency still sits close to historical highs against sterling and the buck. But what we’ve seen this week is that it’s rally isn’t endless. ECB to “monitor” the euro's strength To account for the euro’s losses this week, we can look to what’s typically been the chief mover of the euro exchange rate in the debt crisis, the European Central Bank. Speaking … [Read more...] about Euro wobbles as ECB hints at intervention to curb its strength
Mario Draghi: the closest thing the Eurozone has to a leader?
Mario Draghi: the closest thing the Eurozone has to a leader? Who leads the Eurozone? Having “saved” the euro last year, I think that title belongs to Mario Draghi, head of the ECB. This article looks at why that is, and why it’s less than ideal. One of the things for which Henry Kissinger is famous for asking is, “Who do I call, if I want to talk to Europe?” Well, the European Commission may have a President, in the form of José Manuel Barroso, but I doubt that anyone thinks he’s where the power in Europe lies. He’s closer to a glorified bureaucrat. Meanwhile, others might say that Angela Merkel is where power truly lives on the continent. Germany is after all Europe’s biggest … [Read more...] about Mario Draghi: the closest thing the Eurozone has to a leader?
What does 2013 hold in store for the euro?
For my part, I’d say the leaders of the Eurozone have pretty good reason to feel okay about how 2012 has gone. After all, they overcame the biggest challenge facing the currency union, that of doubts about its continued survival, while making big progress on a banking union, and keeping all its members on-board. I don’t think we should under-estimate just what an accomplishment this is. Back in July, when all you could read about were the inevitable Greek exit, Spanish bankruptcy, or wholesale Eurozone collapse, I moved quite a bit of my savings out of my Spanish account (I’m based in Madrid) to the UK, I was that concerned. For us to look at where we stand now and say, well, Greece … [Read more...] about What does 2013 hold in store for the euro?
Euro climbs as Eurozone banking supervisor agreed
Welcome to the Pure FX account of the latest changes in the euro exchange rate, covering the 7th to 14th December 2012. This is intended as a brief guide to movements in the euro this week, to put you in the best position for when you exchange currencies. Down, but not for long? The euro gained against the pound and US dollar this week, reversing all of last week’s losses, as Eurozone leaders agreed a single banking supervisor for the currency zone. This takes the Eurozone a step closer to genuine fiscal union, and has been widely cheered by the financial markets. To be sure though, it hardly means the Eurozone is out of the debt crisis woods, and the agreement masks big … [Read more...] about Euro climbs as Eurozone banking supervisor agreed
Euro rally ends as ECB hints at rate cut
Welcome to the Pure FX account of the latest changes in the euro exchange rate, covering the 30th November to 7th December 2012. This is intended as a brief guide to movements in the euro this week, to put you in the best position for when you exchange currencies. If you plan to transfer money to Spain or Portugal, there may finally be some good news for you from the foreign exchange market this week. This is, the euro’s six-week rally against the pound and US dollar has come to an unceremonious end, as the European Central Bank hints it might cut interest rates below 0.75% in 2013. This was widely unexpected and caused the euro to lose more than a fortnight’s gains against sterling in … [Read more...] about Euro rally ends as ECB hints at rate cut
Euro unchanged on Sandy, presidential election
Welcome to the Pure FX account of changes in the euro exchange rate, covering the 26th October to 2nd November 2012. This is intended as a brief guide to movements in the euro this week, to put you in the best position for when you exchange currencies. Exchange rates Pound to euro: 1.2476 Pound to US dollar: 1.609 Euro to US dollar: 1.2896 As you can see above, the exchange rates stand unchanged this week, with the pound still close to its highest rate against the euro since early October. This largely reflects two things: one, the impact of Hurricane Sandy on the North Coast of the US, including the States’ financial centre of New York, and two, the Presidential election next … [Read more...] about Euro unchanged on Sandy, presidential election
Euro stumbles as Greece ups its brinkmanship
On Wednesday, Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos accused German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble of more or less plotting to push Greece out of the euro, while Schaeuble in turn said he is tired of dumping money into a black hole. This has delayed the dispatch of the second Greek bailout, bringing Greece closer to the March deadline before it defaults. For me, the dispute raises an interesting point about who is to blame per se for this continuing Greece debacle. Reading around, it seems to me the EU is getting a bad rep here, with Germany especially being painted as a dictatorial monster. Is this the case? I mean - I concede that the EU is a bureaucratic nightmare, but is … [Read more...] about Euro stumbles as Greece ups its brinkmanship
How much more can Greece take?
The euro has enjoyed an optimistic week. In particular, reports that the coalition in Greece has agreed a debt reduction plan with its creditors following eight long months of negotiations have boosted sentiment. From here on, Greece’s creditors will accept a 70.0% loss in the value of their existing government bonds, while receiving just 4.0% interest on the new ones. (This is a little like going into a negotiating room and not only coming out with no gains, but losing your trousers and shirt in addition. It is astonishing bondholders accepted these terms, and must reflect incredible pressure from the EU.) Of course, this is but one side of the coin. In return, Greece must implement … [Read more...] about How much more can Greece take?
Is Greece poised to give the euro a boost?
For almost eight months, bureaucrats in Athens have been negotiating to convince investors to take a voluntary loss on their bonds, arguing this is the only way Greece can get its debt onto a sustainable footing. Until just the last day or so bondholders have refused, for the good reason that volunteering to take a loss is like opening your wallet to strangers in the street! Somehow or other though EU officials have managed the impossible, and investors stand poised to accept a 50.0% loss on their existing Greek bonds, while accepting an interest rate of just 3.75% on replacements. How then might this help the euro? Because if Greek officials and bondholders had not reached agreement, … [Read more...] about Is Greece poised to give the euro a boost?